Adelaide 36ers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix: Analysis and Prediction – Adelaide 36ers will play the South East Melbourne Phoenix in the Australian NBL at the Adelaide Entertainment Centre.
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Adelaide 36ers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Preview
After less than two weeks, two best teams in the league will face again with the winner setting their eyes on the top of the table in the regular season. In the last head-to-head clash, the guests were without their best player Nathan Sobey but still managed to outclass the league leaders in their own backyard. This time, we think it will be a much closer contest, which could be decided by one to two possessions. Following a run of poor form, the 36ers exercised their muscles over the Bullets away from home as they blew them out 107:74 a couple of days ago. In that game, they also had a massive brawl. Fines and suspensions have been issued and, as a result, Nick Rakocevic could be out for today´s derby.
Adelaide are not in ideal form, but this is a massive game, so form doesn´t mean too much. With the support of their fans, the 36ers should be slightly bigger favourites than the bookmakers suggest. The hosts are the better team and we think they will exact revenge over the guests.
At the start of the season, our forecast was that Brisbane would be the main dark horse. However, the South East Melbourne Phoenix have become the main dark horses and are poised to make some noise in the postseason. Even though they lost their last game, the Phoenix are still in good form with three wins from their last five matches and are entering today´s matchup in good morale. They are the only team in the league besides Sydney that can beat Adelaide and their four-import setup with a big bench. The Phoenix also have a long bench and will have their best player compared to the last head-to-head.
It should be very interesting, but we feel the 36ers are better and should be able to win. The hosts are eager to win and show the rest of the league they are still the main juggernauts. That mindset and their quality should prevail and secure them a much-needed victory.
Adelaide 36ers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix H2H
These two teams met three times this season with Adelaide winning twice and the Phoenix winning once. In the initial head-to-head clash in mid-October, the 36ers comfortably beat the Phoenix at home 88:71. We witnessed another routine victory by Adelaide a month later on the road (94:81). In the final head-to-head clash, the Phoenix stunned the 36ers and won convincingly 108:89.
Injuries and Suspensions
The Adelaide 36ers will be without Ben Griscti with Nick Rakocevic questionable. The South East Melbourne Phoenix will have a full roster available.
Where to Watch Adelaide 36ers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix?
Adelaide 36ers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Best Betting Tip and Prediction
What a show this will be. Both teams have points in their hands, but predicting the totals is risky. As we already stated, we think that Adelaide are better and with the home court advantage they should be greater favourites, so we opted for the Adelaide 36ers to win including overtime.
Tip-off Time: Saturday, 31.01.2026, 07:30 CET
Prediction: Adelaide 36ers to win
Odds: 1.80
Stake: 1 unit
Sportsbook: BetLabel
*Odds are active at the time the article is published
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