Germany vs Finland – Preview & Prediction: Germany will play against Finland in the semi-final game on EuroBasket.
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Germany vs Finland Preview
Germany, along with Turkey, is the only national team to reach the EuroBasket semifinals without a single loss. After dominant performances in the group stage, they faced difficulties for the first time in the round of 16. Still, their pure quality allowed them to break Portugal’s resistance in the final quarter. The real test came in the quarterfinals, where Slovenia put up a great fight and only fell in the closing minutes against the favored Germans. In the end, Germany secured a 99-91 victory, once again thanks to an excellent final period.
Perhaps the key moment of the game came in the last few seconds of the third quarter. Aleksej Nikolic missed an open mid-range jumper for a possible +9 lead, and Tristan Da Silva punished that by hitting a shot from half court to cut Slovenia’s advantage to just 74-70. In the final quarter, Germany completely took control, knocked down outside shots, managed to exhaust Luka Doncic – who ran out of fuel in the closing moments – and, riding the performances of Franz Wagner and Dennis Schroder, recorded a win without much drama. Wagner led all German scorers with 23 points, while Schroder followed with three fewer.
The Finnish national team is certainly the biggest surprise of this EuroBasket. Although many considered them potential dark-horse favorites, few expected them to reach the semifinals and compete for a medal. After pulling off a huge upset in the round of 16 by eliminating one of the main favorites for the gold medal – the Serbian national team – they entered the quarterfinals as favorites against Georgia and managed to live up to that role, winning comfortably 93-79.
Finland played a perfect first half, hitting as many as ten three-pointers and holding a huge 17-point lead at the break. Although their level of play dropped in the second half, the victory was never truly in doubt. Georgia closed in at one point to just six points behind, but when Finland repelled that push, there was no question about who would reach the semifinals. Interestingly, Lauri Markkanen scored 17 points but was not the most efficient player on his team, as Mikael Jantunen delivered an outstanding performance with 19 points. It’s also worth noting that Elias Valtonen once again played a key role in the crucial moments, similar to the game against Serbia. However, it’s clear that Finland will need an even better performance in the semifinals compared to the game against Georgia if they hope to reach the final.
Germany vs Finland H2H
These two national teams have faced each other four times so far, and each time the German team has come out on top. The last meeting was at this EuroBasket during the group stage, where Germany won convincingly 91-61.
Injuries and Suspensions
As for Germany, it was already known before EuroBasket that David Kramer and Moritz Wagner would not be part of the national team this summer, while at the start of the tournament, Johannes Voigtmann suffered an injury and can no longer help his teammates. It’s also worth mentioning that after the round of 16 match, Alex Mumbru decided to step down as head coach, and Alan Ibrahimagic now holds that position. Finland, on the other hand, has had no injury problems in this tournament.
Where to Watch Germany vs Finland?
Germany vs Finland Best Betting Tip and Prediction
Germany is a team that, along with Turkey, has shown the most so far in this EuroBasket. After a hard-fought quarterfinal win over Slovenia, they enter this matchup with great relief and as heavy favorites. They already proved in the group stage that they know how to play against Finland, winning by 30 points. We expect another strong performance from Germany and a place in the final, with our pick being that they will win by more than the offered handicap.
Tip-off Time: Friday, 12.09.2025, 16:00 CET
Prediction: Germany -11.5
Odds: 1.70
Sportsbook: 20Bet
*Odds are active at the time the article is published
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