Turkey vs Germany – Preview & Prediction: Turkey and Germany will play against each other in the EuroBasket 2025 Final.
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Turkey vs Germany Preview
Never in its history has Turkey managed to win a gold medal at a major tournament. On Sunday, they will have the chance to change that and to achieve a different outcome than in 2001 or 2010, when they lost at home in Istanbul, first to Yugoslavia and later to the United States. This time the final is being held in Riga, Latvia, but Turkey’s chances on paper are much higher than in either of the previous two occasions when they played for the trophy at a big competition. In the semifinals, they blew Greece off the court with a 94-68 victory and are now heading into the clash with Germany full of confidence. Head coach Ergin Ataman managed to transmit his infectious positive energy and belief that his players can outplay anyone on the court. The players themselves spoke about that after the win over Greece.
The absolute hero for Turkey on Friday was Ercan Osmani with 28 points. The Anadolu Efes power forward not only delivered the best performance of his career, but also completely dominated Giannis Antetokounmpo in one-on-one situations. He nailed several threes right in his face and didn’t allow him easy points at the rim, although he did have significant help from his teammates. Cedi Osman was also impressive. After not practicing for three days due to an ankle injury, he gritted his teeth and scored 17 points against Greece. Alperen Sengun wasn’t as productive scoring-wise as usual, but he did everything else on the floor. Shane Larkin once again showed that he is the absolute leader on the court and 100% committed to team success, while Sehmus Hazer played an extremely important defensive role on Friday.
Germany gave Finland absolutely no chance in the EuroBasket semifinals. They won by 98-86 and fully deserved to book their spot in the gold medal game. Not once in their previous eight games at this tournament did Dennis Schroder and his teammates look truly threatened, as they were the dominant force every single time. Even when they were shooting 1/25 from three-point range at one point against Portugal, they still finished with a 27-point win. They also held off Luka Doncic’s surge by closing the fourth quarter calmly and now have only one more hurdle left before uniting the European and World crowns. Truth be told, Turkey will be by far the toughest opponent they have faced so far.
Against Finland, the usual suspects Schroder and Franz Wagner were the best. They combined for 48 points and solved one-on-one situations with ease. Tristan da Silva added 13 points and his form has been rising as the tournament progresses, potentially peaking in the final. Isaac Bonga locked down Lauri Markkanen after already showing good defensive moments against Doncic, while Daniel Theis remains the glue of this German team. He is the only true center on the roster, and at the same time, defensively switches and successfully guards all five positions one-on-one. For Germany to win this final, it will also be necessary for someone off the bench to get hot from beyond the arc, and that role usually belongs to Andreas Obst, who is unstoppable once he catches fire.
Turkey vs Germany H2H
Germany leads 5-3 in official games, but their last meeting was 10 years ago when Turkey came out as the winner at EuroBasket.
Injuries and Suspensions
Turkey has no injury concerns. Germany is without Moritz Wagner, Nick Weiler-Babb, and Isaiah Hartenstein at this tournament, while Johannes Voigtmann was injured during EuroBasket.
Where to Watch Turkey vs Germany?
Turkey vs Germany Best Betting Tip and Prediction
Both teams have won all eight games they’ve played at EuroBasket so far. However, Turkey has left a better impression and defeated quality teams such as Serbia and Greece. Germany has yet to be truly tested, and the question is how they will respond when faced with an opponent who not only knows how to strike back but can also put them in trouble. Sengun is capable of establishing dominance in the paint against Theis, while Turkey’s perimeter has the defensive capacity to slow down Schroder and Wagner and at least force them into tough shots. All in all, Turkey runs more organized offenses, takes fewer difficult shots, and is capable of shining defensively. Plus, they have a huge advantage on the bench. Coach Ataman usually doesn’t lose these kinds of games, and it is hard to believe he would lose the most important match in the history of Turkish basketball after everything he has achieved and won in his career.
Tip-off Time: Sunday, 14.09.2025, 20:00 CET
Prediction: Turkey +3.5
Odds: 1.71
Sportsbook: 22Bet
*Odds are active at the time the article is published
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