Denmark vs Finland: Analysis and Prediction – Denmark will host Finland in the EuroBasket Qualifiers Round 6.
Denmark vs Finland Odds
Denmark Team News
Denmark performed very poorly in these qualifiers, making it clear that they have no chance of qualifying for EuroBasket heading into the final round. They suffered a 62-60 defeat against Georgia in the fifth round of the qualifiers, officially ending their hopes of securing a spot in the European Championship.
Denmark certainly has reasons for regret, as they opened the qualifiers with a victory against Georgia, winning 75-69. However, they then suffered four consecutive losses, with particularly painful defeats coming against Finland on the road and this most recent one against Georgia. The situation could have been entirely different if Iffe Lundberg had made the game-winning shot against Georgia, which would have put Denmark in a much more favorable position. In that scenario, a victory in this game, combined with a Georgian loss to Serbia, would have secured their EuroBasket qualification—an outcome that was not entirely unrealistic. However, Denmark’s biggest issue in that game was their offensive performance. They lacked efficient scorers, with their key duo—Iffe Lundberg and Shavon Shields—underperforming. Lundberg finished with just 10 points, shooting 4/16 from the field, including a dreadful 1/10 from three-point range. Shields fared no better, scoring only eight points on 2/11 shooting. Unexpectedly, Breogan’s Kevin Larsen emerged as the team’s top scorer with 14 points. Meanwhile, young Ulm player Tobias Brahe Jensen, just 20 years old, delivered his best performance of the qualifiers, finishing with 11 points.
For Denmark to secure a victory in this game, they must significantly improve their performance compared to their match against Georgia, particularly on the offensive end. Additionally, they allowed their opponents to grab 17 offensive rebounds—an alarmingly high number that they must address.
Finland Team News
Finland had already secured a spot at EuroBasket before the start of these qualifiers as one of the host nations. As a result, they played without any pressure, which was reflected in their performance, as they have managed just one win in five games so far. In their most recent match, they suffered a 105-95 home defeat against Serbia.
Finland’s only victory in these qualifiers came against their upcoming opponent, back on February 26 of last year. One of the defining characteristics of the Finnish national team over the years is their consistency in roster selection—whether in major tournaments or qualifiers, they field the same core group of players. This continuity makes them a well-drilled team, and when their three-point shooting—arguably their greatest strength—starts clicking, they can pose a threat to any opponent. Young head coach Lassi Tuovi has been doing an excellent job, and Finland has become a regular participant in World Cups and European Championships in recent years. They played well against Serbia but struggled defensively to contain the outstanding Filip Petrusev and Aleksa Avramovic. Finland attempted an astonishing 42 three-pointers in that game, making 16 of them. Interestingly, they had already hit 11 threes by halftime, but their main offensive weapon faltered in the second half. Mikael Jantunen delivered an excellent performance, stepping up as the team’s leader in the absence of Lauri Markkanen. The only EuroLeague player on Finland’s roster finished with 18 points and six rebounds. Olivier Nkamhoua also impressed, recording 17 points, five assists, and four rebounds. Additionally, the experienced duo of Sasu Salin and Edon Maxhuni, both key figures in the national team for years, played significant roles.
For Finland to secure a win in this game, they must improve defensively compared to their performance against Serbia. Moreover, they need to find alternative offensive solutions beyond three-point shooting, as they often struggle to generate scoring opportunities when their perimeter game fails.
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Denmark vs Finland H2H
Finland was more successful in the second round of these qualifiers, securing an 89-85 home victory.
Absences and Injuries
Lauri Markkanen will not be available for Finland in this match due to his NBA commitments.
Denmark vs Finland Prediction
This match holds no significance in terms of results for either team. Denmark has failed to qualify for EuroBasket, despite not looking too bad in these qualifiers, with their main opportunity slipping away in the previous game. Finland, on the other hand, secured a spot in the European Championship as one of the host nations and has not delivered particularly impressive performances so far. We expect Denmark to put on a strong showing in front of their home crowd as a farewell to these qualifiers and to secure a victory.
Tip-off Time: Monday, 24.02.2025, 20:00 CET
Prediction: Denmark to win
Odds: 1.73
Sportsbook: 22Bet
*Odds are active at the time the article is published
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