Gran Canaria vs Barcelona: Analysis and Prediction – Gran Canaria will play at home against Barcelona in the Liga Endesa Round 16.
Gran Canaria vs Barcelona Odds
Gran Canaria Team News
Gran Canaria has lost only once in their last five Liga Endesa games, showcasing the form they’re currently in. With a 10-5 record, they sit sixth in the standings and have secured their spot in the Copa del Rey, which is always a primary mid-season goal in Spain.
The offensive cornerstone of this team is Caleb Homesley, their biggest scoring threat, averaging 15.1 points per game as their top scorer. He shoots 48% from the field and an impressive 43% from beyond the arc, with over five attempts per game (5.3). Alongside him, Nicolás Brussino stands out as a player who fills every statistical column. He is the only other player averaging double digits in points and ranks among the top three on the team in assists, rebounds, and minutes. Additionally, his defensive contributions have been crucial, which is why he drew interest from stronger teams, including Real Madrid, over the summer. Gran Canaria’s defensive rating is slightly below the league average, but offensively, their stats are excellent. It’s worth noting that they play at the third-slowest pace in the league, with only Joventut and Tenerife averaging fewer possessions per game. Perhaps their most defining characteristic is their team-oriented approach on both ends of the floor. This is best illustrated by the fact that seven players average between seven and ten points per game, leaving no doubt that they truly embody the concept of a “team.”
In this matchup, Gran Canaria’s primary goal will be to control the tempo and avoid getting into a fast-paced game with Barcelona, as that could be detrimental to their chances. If they can dictate the pace, focusing on five-on-five play and half-court offense for the full 40 minutes, they can certainly find their opportunities. Otherwise, it will be difficult to compete with a Barcelona squad filled with individuals capable of dominating any opponent.
Barcelona Team News
Barcelona has been unrecognizable so far this season, as evidenced by their current position outside the top eight in the standings. After three consecutive losses, they hold a 7-8 record, and their participation in the Copa del Rey is now in serious doubt—an almost unbelievable scenario.
When Joan Penarroya, known as a “players’ coach” with an offensive playing style, took over, many believed he would transform Barcelona into a cohesive unit on the court, using their offense to dominate. However, a key factor behind their struggles is the injury to Nicolas Laprovittola. Following surgery on his ACL, he is out for the rest of the season. Although Raul Neto was brought in as his replacement, injuries sidelined him twice in quick succession. As a result, Kevin Punter has reverted to the role he played last season at Partizan, being the primary ball-handler due to a lack of better options. While Punter has been outstanding—one of only two EuroLeague players with impressive 50-40-90 shooting percentages from two-point range, three-point range, and the free-throw line—he needs more support from his teammates. Dario Brizuela comes into this game after a career-best performance in Monaco, scoring 27 points. The offensive contributions of Justin Anderson and Jabari Parker will also be crucial, but even more important will be their shot selection, as their efficiency has been a decisive factor in Barcelona’s struggles this season.
Barcelona can only win this game if they replicate their defensive performance from Monaco, where they showed significant improvement compared to earlier matches. Offensively, they have far greater individual quality than their opponents. If they perform to their potential, that will be the winning formula.
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Gran Canaria vs Barcelona H2H
Absences and Injuries
Gran Canaria vs Barcelona Prediction
Tip-off Time: Sunday, 12.01.2025, 13:00 CET
Prediction: Barcelona -2.5
Odds: 1.77
Sportsbook: 22Bet
*Odds are active at the time the article is published
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