Greece vs Netherlands: Analysis and Prediction – Greece will play at home against Netherlands in the EuroBasket Qualifiers Round 6.
Greece vs Netherlands Odds
Greece Team News
Greece secured a hard-fought victory over the Czech Republic away on Friday night, winning 93-89 after overtime. With this win, they improved to 4-1 and confirmed their place at EuroBasket. Now, they only have to bid farewell to their home fans in a game that holds no competitive significance.
The standout performer for Greece in the previous match was Vasileios Toliopoulos, who scored 26 points. He has been dominating with Aris for a few seasons now, and many are surprised he hasn’t changed teams yet. He has already shown with the national team, even at the Olympic Games, that he can make a difference in the minutes given to him by head coach Vassilis Spanoulis, and this performance only confirms that he will almost certainly be among the players heading to EuroBasket in September. Ioannis Papapetrou also had his best game of the season, scoring 23 points, which is likely a positive sign for Ergin Ataman, who is hoping for a much bigger impact from him at Panathinaikos. Given that Greece has already secured qualification, it is quite likely that some EuroLeague players will be rested in this matchup against the Netherlands to avoid any injuries. This is one of those games that simply must be played, and it makes no difference to Spanoulis’ team whether they win or not. It only provides an opportunity for some second-unit players to make an impression with a strong performance.
Greece’s identity has always been built on excellent defense, though it is questionable how much Spanoulis will emphasize that this time. A more relaxed approach on both ends of the floor is more likely, with a fairly open playing style. Since their opponent has also been eliminated, this could lead to a high number of three-point attempts.
Netherlands Team News
The Netherlands failed to stay in contention until the final round. On Friday, they lost at home to Great Britain by 73-69, sealing their elimination. They are now 1-4 and have an inferior head-to-head record compared to third-placed Czech Republic, meaning they can no longer overtake them even theoretically.
This is a major disappointment for the Netherlands, as they had managed to qualify for EuroBasket a couple of times in the past decade and establish themselves on the basketball map. This time, however, they fell short, though it is true that Great Britain currently has a much stronger roster, featuring several players competing in European competitions. Yannick Franke was the only Dutch player who performed well a few days ago, but he alone was not enough to carry the team to a victory that would have at least kept their EuroBasket hopes alive heading into the game in Greece. Charlon Kloof is another player who is consistently one of the team’s leaders and often takes responsibility in clutch moments. This national team is far from lacking potential. They have young talents like Yannick Kraag and Keye Van Der Vuurst, both of whom play in the Spanish Liga Endesa, providing a solid foundation for the future. While it is almost unimaginable for them to qualify for a World Cup or the Olympics, they will certainly have a chance in the next EuroBasket qualification cycle. It is also not out of the question that by then, another impactful player will emerge in the national team to raise their level.
The Netherlands also have no result-driven motivation in this game, and it remains to be seen how engaged they will be. In a different scenario, they would likely try to assert themselves through strong defense and one-on-one play. How much of that they will implement on Monday remains to be seen.
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Greece vs Netherlands H2H
Exactly a year ago, Greece defeated the Netherlands away by 74-72 and now lead the head-to-head series 2-0.
Absences and Injuries
It is unclear what kind of roster Greece will field. There is a strong possibility that none of their EuroLeague players will be in the lineup for this game. The Netherlands have no injury concerns and will have their best players available.
Greece vs Netherlands Prediction
The Netherlands struggled massively on the boards against Great Britain, and it is unlikely they will be able to control that aspect of the game against Greece either. We believe the hosts will dictate the tempo, and with defenses unlikely to be highly motivated, we expect the total points to exceed the offered line.
Tip-off Time: Monday, 24.02.2025, 20:30 CET
Prediction: Over 152.5 points
Odds: 1.70
Sportsbook: 22Bet
*Odds are active at the time the article is published
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