Manawatu Jets vs Nelson Giants: Analysis and Prediction – Manawatu Jets will play the Nelson Giants in the New Zealand NBL at the Fly Palmy Arena.
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Manawatu Jets vs Nelson Giants Preview
With just three games remaining on their schedule, both the Jets and the Giants are facing a must-win situation this Monday if they want to make the playoffs. The Manawatu Jets are currently sitting in seventh place in the standings, only one spot outside the playoff zone. They have the same W-L record as the sixth-placed Tauranga Whai, but are below them because of the point differential. Following today´s clash, the Jets have a very tough fixture on the road against the main title favourites Auckland and will then finish the regular season at home with a matchup against the Franklin Bulls. On Saturday, Manawatu had to win in front of their fans against the heavily shorthanded Bay Hawks, who were without their two main scoring options, and did just that, but they struggled and only won by nine points, while they should be winning that kind of a game easily by 20 points. They were led by their main superstar Corey Webster, who turned back the clock and dropped a massive statline of 32 points and five rebounds. His brother and the New Zealand national team player Tai Webster had a quiet night with only ten points, but it was the imports who provided the main support for Corey with a combined effort of almost 50 points. After all the injuries and roster movements, the hosts have a star-studded starting five with three excellent American imports along with the duo of the Webster brothers. With that kind of firepower, they can keep up with any team in the league on a good night, but they lack the scoring punch off the bench, which makes them just an average squad.
We feel that the Jets should be able to squeeze into the playoff zone, but they don´t stand a chance in the postseason without a legitimate scoring option on the bench. They only win when either Corey or Tai Webster score 30 or more points and they can´t sustain that kind of production long-term.
The Nelson Giants are exhibiting some very solid basketball recently and managed to recover from the slump they suffered in May. However, they are still outside the playoff zone as they are currently sitting in tenth place in the standings with a 5-12 W-L record. The Giants are only one victory away from the final playoff position and Manawatu are one of their main rivals, so a win today would do wonders for Nelson´s positioning and morale. In the last two weeks, Nelson have been stable and steady even though they lost to Auckland, Wellington and Southland. Playing three of the main title favourites in just two weeks ago is a monumental task and the Giants managed to hold their own as they fell to Auckland by just six points, dragged the reigning champions to a dramatic overtime and lost against the vice-champions by twelve points after squandering a 15-point lead. They also achieved a crucial home win over Franklin without their two best domestic players, Tohi Smith-Milner and Kruz Perrott-Hunt, which says a lot about their character and grit.
The guests will be looking to win today´s affair and inch closer to the sixth spot. If they manage to take down the Jets, they will have the same W-L record as them and will be in a good position to clinch a playoff berth.
Manawatu Jets vs Nelson Giants H2H
Around a month ago in the first head-to-head clash, the Giants managed to subdue the Jets at home 92:79.
Injuries and Suspensions
The Manawatu Jets will have a full roster available, while the Nelson Giants can´t count on their captain Sam Dempster.
Where to Watch Manawatu Jets vs Nelson Giants?
Manawatu Jets vs Nelson Giants Best Betting Tip and Prediction
Tip-off Time: Monday, 13.07.2026, 09:00 CET
Prediction: Nelson Giants +2.5
Odds: 1.78
Stake: 1 Unit
Sportsbook: 22Bet
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