Perth Wildcats vs South East Melbourne Phoenix: Analysis and Prediction – Perth Wildcats will play the South East Melbourne Phoenix in the Australian NBL at the RAC Arena.
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Perth Wildcats vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Preview
The Perth Wildcats have been firing on all cylinders since the start of the year and were undefeated up until three days ago, when Melbourne United ended their five-game winning streak. It was a very tense and low-scoring match against United, which could have gone either way. In the end, Melbourne prevailed by a single point in the distant West, but we doubt this loss will have any serious effect on the morale of the high-flying Wildcats. In today´s matchup, Perth have a chance to redeem themselves for that loss and also show the rest of the competition that they mean business. They have already beaten the Phoenix this month by ten points on the road, but we are expecting today´s game to be much closer.
The bookmakers see this contest as a clear 50-50 matchup and we agree. One to two possessions might decide the outcome, so predicting the winner is extremely difficult. The hosts are the team in the best form currently in the league, but the guests are also in excellent form, so this is shaping up to be a fascinating game.
The South East Melbourne Phoenix are no longer the surprise; they are now a force to be reckoned with and a serious title contender. The Phoenix have won their last four out of five games and also their last eight out of ten matches. They currently sit in second place in the standings and are breathing down the neck of the league leaders Adelaide. The main reason why they have been so successful is Nathan Sobey. The domestic stalwart is leading the team and putting up incredible numbers averaging 22 ppg. Phoenix´s new import reinforcement Ian Clark has been tremendous on both ends of the floor after arriving mid-season with an average of 13 ppg. In addition, the Phoenix have five more players who are averaging double-digits in points, which means they will be a serious threat to Adelaide and Sydney in the playoffs.
Statistically, the guests have the best offense in the league. They are averaging more than a 100 points per game, which should make today´s contest a high-scoring one. The Phoenix easily scored 100+ points in their last three consecutive games and we doubt that the Wildcats can stop them.
Perth Wildcats vs South East Melbourne Phoenix H2H
These teams met three times this season with the Phoenix winning twice and Perth winning once. In the first head-to-head clash at the start of November, the Phoenix won a narrow affair at home 94:89. In mid-December, it was even closer as the Phoenix escaped Perth with a one-point victory (77:76). In the last head-to-head clash at the start of January, the Wildcats finally managed to beat the Phoenix and it was a huge 107:97 win on the road.
Injuries and Suspensions
The Perth Wildcats will be without Jaron Rillie and David Duke. The South East Melbourne Phoenix will have a full roster at their disposal.
Where to Watch Perth Wildcats vs South East Melbourne Phoenix?
Perth Wildcats vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Best Betting Tip and Prediction
The only way Perth can win this matchup is if they outscore the unstoppable offense of the Phoenix. Overall, both teams prefer an up-tempo, high-scoring style of play with plenty of transition and free throws. This should be a mouthwatering fixture and a true show for the fans with both sides scoring with ease, so we opted for the Total Over.
Tip-off Time: Wednesday, 28.01.2026, 11:30 CET
Prediction: Over 190.5 points
Odds: 1.85
Stake: 1 unit
Sportsbook: BetLabel
*Odds are active at the time the article is published
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