Real Madrid vs Valencia – Preview & Prediction: Real Madrid will play at home against Valencia in the Liga Endesa Finals Game 1.
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Real Madrid vs Valencia Preview
Real Madrid has faced numerous disappointments this season, and the Liga Endesa finals present a golden opportunity to salvage the campaign and frame it as at least somewhat successful. They suffered defeats to Unicaja in both the Spanish Super Cup and the Copa del Rey final, and were eliminated in the EuroLeague quarterfinals by Olympiacos. However, they have now reached the finals of Liga Endesa in pursuit of their first trophy of the season. Along the way, they swept Baskonia 2-0 and got their revenge on Unicaja with a 3-1 win in the semifinals.
It’s evident that head coach Chus Mateo struggled to find the right balance throughout the season, with numerous roster changes affecting the team’s rhythm. Nevertheless, Dzanan Musa and later Facundo Campazzo raised their level of play when it mattered most, and the team as a whole showed strong character. Walter Tavares has done an excellent job protecting the paint, while Mario Hezonja has finally found his shooting rhythm from beyond the arc, converting at a much higher rate than before. It’s worth noting that before their Game 3 loss to Unicaja in the semifinals, Real Madrid was on a 25-game winning streak in Liga Endesa. Also important is the fact that Real Madrid has been the top-ranked team defensively all season long based on defensive rating.
On the other side, Valencia also has some regrets about how their season has unfolded. But considering they’ve reached the Liga Endesa finals and are all but guaranteed a EuroLeague spot next season, labeling their season a failure would be too harsh. In the EuroCup, they were eliminated in the semifinals by Hapoel Tel Aviv in a decisive Game 3, in which Chris Jones was absent due to injury. In the domestic playoffs, they reached the finals by beating Gran Canaria 2-0 and sweeping Tenerife 3-0.
The key for Valencia is that they handled all challenges on their way to the finals with relative ease, and they will have a full six days of rest before the first game. Jean Montero is having a phenomenal season, fitting into the team seamlessly and earning MVP honors for the regular season. While Real Madrid was the best defense throughout the season, Valencia leads the competition in offensive rating, making them the top offensive unit in Liga Endesa. Valencia has no injuries to report heading into the finals, though there will be absences due to the foreign player limit. One major concern is the form of Semi Ojeleye, who is widely expected to leave the club after the season. He urgently needs to raise his level of play in the finals, as his performances in the previous two playoff rounds were a far cry from what’s expected of a player considered one of the best at his position in Liga Endesa.
Claim Now Real Madrid vs Valencia H2H
In the regular season, Real Madrid and Valencia faced each other twice, with each team securing a win on their home court.
Injuries and Suspensions
Gabriel Deck and Serge Ibaka will not be available for Real Madrid. On the Valencia side, Stefan Jovic and Amida Brimah missed the previous two matchups against Real and are unlikely to feature this time as well.
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Real Madrid vs Valencia Best Betting Tip and Prediction
Real Madrid reached the finals after a hard-fought and exhausting battle against Unicaja, which clearly took a toll on them both mentally and physically. On the other hand, Valencia wrapped up their series against Tenerife quickly and will have exactly six days of rest ahead of the first game of the finals. Considering their offensive firepower and the importance of rest at this stage of the season, we believe they are capable of keeping up with Real Madrid until the very end. Even in the case of a defeat, it’s unlikely to be by a margin larger than the one currently offered.
Tip-off Time: Friday, 20.06.2025, 21:15 CET
Prediction: Valencia +7.5
Odds: 1.77
Sportsbook: BetLabel
*Odds are active at the time the article is published
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