Serbia vs Georgia: Analysis and Prediction – Serbia will host Georgia in Round 6 match qualification for Eurobasket 2025.
Serbia vs Georgia Odds
Serbia Team News
Serbia is one of the few teams that have remained unbeaten in the EuroBasket qualifiers, securing victories in all five of their games. They sit comfortably at the top of Group G and had already secured their spot in the tournament even before this February qualification window. In their most recent matchup, they defeated Finland on the road with a 105-95 victory.
The game against Finland highlighted significant differences in individual player quality, but it also gave head coach Svetislav Pesic the opportunity to experiment and provide chances to new faces due to numerous absences and injuries. As a result, Arijan Lakic and Mario Nakic made their debuts for the Serbian senior national team, which is a positive sign for the future. Their inclusion expands the competition within the squad ahead of the final roster selection for EuroBasket. Filip Petrusev delivered his best performance in a Serbia jersey, scoring a career-high 34 points, while Aleksa Avramovic captained the national team for the first time, contributing 18 points and nine assists. Avramovic played a crucial role alongside Petrusev in the closing moments to stop Finland’s late push. Dejan Davidovac and Uros Trifunovic also had strong performances, and Serbia shot an impressive 14-of-26 from three-point range, thanks to excellent ball movement and well-executed offensive plays. This Serbian team has one clear goal—winning the gold medal at EuroBasket 2025. Their strong performance at the last Olympic Games, where they secured a bronze medal, proves they are capable of achieving such a feat.
Serbia will play this game in Belgrade, in front of their home crowd, making it their final match before the team gathers for EuroBasket preparations. Despite already securing qualification, they will be highly motivated to close out the campaign with a perfect record and celebrate in front of their fans, setting the stage for the challenges ahead.
Georgia Team News
Georgia pulled off a massive victory in the EuroBasket qualifiers, securing their most important win by defeating Denmark 62-60. After suffering two early losses, they bounced back with three consecutive wins, securing their place in the prestigious tournament.
From the very start of Group G, which includes Serbia, Finland, and Denmark, one thing was clear. Since Finland, as one of the four EuroBasket host nations, had already secured automatic qualification, only the top two teams in the group would advance. This was different from other groups where no host teams were present, allowing three teams to qualify. Serbia fully justified their role as favorites, meaning that Georgia and Denmark were left to battle for the final spot. Head coach Aleksandar Dzikic was honored with the Georgian Order of Merit after his team’s decisive win over Denmark. In that game, Georgia’s defense completely shut down the Danish duo of Iffe Lundberg and Shavon Shields, holding them to a combined 6-of-27 shooting from the field. Tornike Shengelia led the way with a dominant double-double of 19 points and 13 rebounds, while Duda Sanadze added 16 points in a crucial team effort. Despite missing NBA players Goga Bitadze and Sandro Mamukelashvili, Georgia once again proved their ability to compete at the highest level. A key factor behind their success was, as always, Shengelia. Few people know that he consistently prioritizes the national team over his club commitments. In the previous qualification window, he played a game for Virtus Bologna and then suited up twice for Georgia within a span of less than 72 hours—an extraordinary feat that highlights his dedication to his country.
Heading into this matchup, Georgia has absolutely nothing to lose, which could be their biggest advantage. With no pressure, they can play freely against Serbia, who, like them, have already secured a EuroBasket spot. Additionally, coach Aleksandar Dzikic will have extra motivation to perform well against the national team of his home country.
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Serbia vs Georgia H2H
Serbia has won four of the last five meetings against Georgia.
Absences and Injuries
Nikola Jokic, Bogdan Bogdanovic, Vasilije Micic, and Nikola Jovic will not play for Serbia due to their NBA commitments. Additionally, Serbia has several players whose availability remains uncertain, including Nikola Milutinov, Ognjen Dobric, Marko Guduric, Uros Plavsic, and Aleksej Pokusevski. Stefan Jovic is also questionable after missing the game against Finland due to illness. On the other side, Georgia will be without Goga Bitadze and Sandro Mamukelashvili, as both players are competing in the NBA.
Serbia vs Georgia Prediction
The most important factor heading into this game is that both Serbia and Georgia have already secured their spots at EuroBasket, making this a pressure-free matchup for both teams. As a result, fans can expect an entertaining and competitive game, where the absence of pressure could lead to higher shooting percentages. A faster pace, more three-point attempts than usual, and opportunities for new faces eager to prove themselves are all likely scenarios. Serbia and Georgia faced off in a EuroBasket qualifier a few years ago, with Serbia winning 94-90. More recently, at the FIBA World Cup, Serbia secured a convincing 105-87 victory. Given these past encounters and the current circumstances, this game is expected to be a high-scoring affair, with both teams surpassing the projected point total.
Tip-off Time: Monday, 24.02.2025, 20:00 CET
Prediction: Over 155.5 points
Odds: 1.76
Sportsbook: 22Bet
*Odds are active at the time the article is published
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