Canada vs Brazil: Analysis and Prediction – A very important game will be played in group L between Canada and Brazil at the FIBA World Cup on Friday.
Canada vs Brazil Odds
Canada vs Brazil (1/2): 1.04 / 11.00
Asian Handicap (-18.5 / +18.5): 1.91 / 1.87
Total Over/Under (179.5): 1.87 / 1.91
*Odds are active at the time the article is published
Canada Team News
Canada probably made the best impression of any team at the World Cup so far. They achieved the maximum performance in the group of “death” and, from the first position, was placed in the next stage. The most significant was the 95:65 victory over France, which shook the “tricolors” so much that they were later eliminated.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the best player in the tournament. He scored 27 points for France and Latvia, and the epilogue was a victory by 25 or more points. The Canadian point guard has perfectly adapted to the FIBA rules. Another thing that everyone points out about the Canadians is their exceptional physical play. When Lugentz Dort, RJ Barrett, and Dillon Brooks smell “blood”, they drop their rivals hard. It appeared before the tournament that Canada’s lack would be poor shooting, to which they responded with 11 3-pointers against France and 16 against Latvia. Logically, 18 against Lebanon, in a 55-point victory, we don’t take into account.
Some other teams advanced convincingly to the next stage, but without knowing what their real quality is, because they dominated against weaker rivals. This is not the case with Canada, which, especially after France, knows where they are and that momentum from high-quality games and the confidence derived from them could be the biggest asset of coach Jordi Fernandez.
Brazil Team News
Brazil enters the new phase after second place in Group G, with two wins and a loss against Spain. It could have been different if Yago dos Santos had not played fantastically against the Ivory Coast and, with 24 points and 12 assists, prevented another big surprise in the tournament.
It was the new Crvena Zvezda point guard who was Brazil’s best player in the group stage. His scoring performance, as well as the number of assists, were consistently high, partly due to Raul Neto’s injury. Because of this, Dos Santos had to take on more responsibility, but it seems that the injury had a negative mental impact on Brazil, because they did not play well against Spain or Ivory Coast. That last match against the African team cannot be a reason for the satisfaction of the “carioca”.
In the last two meetings, Gustavo Conti’s team showed all its weaknesses, especially in defense. In addition, the only player besides Yago who was consistent was Bruno Caboclo. That probably won’t be enough for the quarterfinals, to which Conti’s team will certainly say goodbye already after the first game.
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Canada vs Brazil H2H
Canada and Brazil have met 13 times. Brazil leads 9-4.
Absences and Injuries
Jamal Murray and Andrew Wiggins will not help the Canadian team. Brazil playmaker Raul Neto will miss the entire tournament due to a serious injury.
Canada vs Brazil Prediction
What is key in this matchup is that Canada possesses great quality, both offensively and defensively. Fernandez’s team, excluding the game against Lebanon, averaged 96 points and received 70 points. Brazil has the quality to respond offensively – but the 96 points the team conceded to Spain showed that the defense is not up to par. The victory of Canada is probably not in question, but it should be taken into account that the Brazilian team has already passed some competitions together and has more experience at this stage than the rival, for whom this is the first major tournament in this composition.
Because of all this, we suggest that Brazil will not lose by a margin higher than 19 points.
Tip-off Time: Friday, 01.09.2023, 15:30 CET
Prediction: Brazil +19.5
Odds: 1.74
Sportsbook: 22Bet
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