Crvena Zvezda vs Partizan: Analysis and Prediction – Crvena Zvezda will play first ABA League finals series game against Partizan.
Crvena Zvezda vs Partizan Odds
Crvena Zvezda Team News
Crvena Zvezda convincingly topped the regular season standings, earning them the coveted first place and home-court advantage throughout the playoffs, including the ABA League finals. In the quarterfinals, they outplayed Studentski centar and Mega in semifinal without dropping a single game (4-0).
The team appears to be in good spirits heading into this final, notably having reached the finals after just four games, allowing their leaders to spend minimal time on the court and ensuring they enter the final series in top form. Milos Teodosic stands out as the team’s leader, his experience and influence on the rest of the team are evident. When he’s on the court, he elevates the performance of all his teammates, making a significant impact with his playmaking abilities. The absence of Adam Hanga due to injury is a important factor, as he has had a significant impact in every game against Partizan this season, both offensively and defensively. Joel Bolomboy missed the second game against Mega, which allowed Freddie Gillespie to step up. Rokas Giedraitis and Nemanja Nedovic form a threatening duo from beyond the arc, with Giedraitis shooting 6/8 from three-point range in the game against Mega. Alongside Bolomboy, Luka Mitrovic is a key player in the paint for Crvena Zvezda, and much will depend on him to match up against the opponent’s frontline. Choosing to play this final in the “Aleksandar Nikolic” arena significantly enhances the home-court advantage for Crvena Zvezda. This venue, where they have trained all season, poses a challenge for the opposing team due to its atmosphere and familiarity for the home team.
In this matchup, Crvena Zvezda must maintain aggressiveness and concentration in defense throughout the entire 40 minutes. They must also minimize the opponent’s offensive rebounds and attempt to dominate the paint on the opponent’s half of the court. With several players posing a threat from beyond the arc, a well-timed three-pointer can make a significant difference in games of this caliber.
Partizan Team News
Partizan has shown certain weaknesses during the regular season, but they managed to finish second in the standings. In the quarterfinals, they outplayed Igokea without losing a game (2-0), and then they advanced to the finals after a decisive game against Buducnost (2-1).
The most important aspect for Zeljko Obradovic’s team is that they played three high-intensity games in the semifinals against Buducnost, which could serve as excellent preparation for the finals, where an even tougher challenge awaits them. There are several reasons for satisfaction at this point, giving Partizan confidence. It seems that Aleksa Avramovic has timed his form to peak towards the end of the season, both offensively and defensively, making him a crucial factor. Alongside him, James Nunnally has significantly elevated his game, while captain Kevin Punter continues to take responsibility when it’s most needed, displaying regained confidence from previous seasons where he made crucial shots for victory. Jalen Smith deserves mention as well, despite spending a significant portion of the season off the court, his presence has significantly improved Partizan’s defense. Additionally, he poses a threat from beyond the arc, demanding attention from opponents. Zach LeDay appears to have room for improvement, yet in each of the five games against Partizan this season, he was an important factor on both ends of the court, as was Frank Kaminsky, who has shown good shooting performances despite defensive struggles when he’s on the court. The only way to cover Kaminsky’s deficiencies is to pair him with Bruno Caboclo, but the Brazilian doesn’t seem to be in good form. Alen Smailagic remains a big question mark this season as he struggles to find his form.
Partizan cannot allow their opponent to take an early lead in this match. Too often this season, they’ve faced double-digit deficits within the first few minutes of play. The first prerequisite for them to compete with Crvena Zvezda is to prevent this and solve their defensive rebounding issues, which have been a significant problem. Nearly every player in this team poses a threat from beyond the arc, and if they shoot at high percentages, it could be a decisive factor in their favor.
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Crvena Zvezda vs Partizan H2H
This season, Crvena Zvezda and Partizan have played a total of five games. Partizan emerged victorious in the first two encounters, while Crvena Zvezda is currently on a streak of three consecutive wins. The last game they played was in the final of the Radivoj Korac Cup, which was won by Crvena Zvezda with a score of 85:79. This match was played on neutral ground, while in the remaining four matches, the home team emerged victorious each time.
Absences and Injuries
Crvena Zvezda vs Partizan Prediction
Every game between these two teams is followed with a lot of attention, but also pressure from both sides, including fans and the public. It’s worth considering that Partizan hasn’t won against Crvena Zvezda on their home court in the ABA League playoffs for ten years. Additionally, it’s well-known how different games between Belgrade rivals are during the playoffs compared to the regular season. Expect a match at a slower pace, which will be decided in the final moments. Due to the pressure and importance, it’s not expected that shooting percentages will be high. Therefore, our forecast is that the teams will not exceed the offered margin in terms of total points scored.
Tip-off Time: Monday, 14.05.2024, 20:30 CET
Prediction: Under 165.5 points
Odds: 1.90
Sportsbook: MyBookie
*Odds are active at the time the article is published
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