Georgia vs Slovenia: Analysis and Prediction – Georgia and Slovenia will play game of second round on the FIBA World Cup 2023.
Georgia vs Slovenia (1/2): 3.20 / 1.35
Asian Handicap (+7.5 / -7.5): 1.83 / 1.95
Total Over/Under (179.5): 1.87 / 1.89
*Odds are active at the time the article is published
Georgia
In the opening match of Group F, Georgia comfortably defeated the Cape Verde national team. After a slightly rocky start, the team led by Ilias Zouros turned the score around and had already secured their victory by halftime.
In the opening round, the playing time was well distributed, and everyone had a chance to play. Tornike Shengelia was the top scorer with 16 points, followed closely by Goga Bitadze with one point less. None of the players spent more than 26 minutes on the court. Besides these two, two more players reached double digits. The match against the African team couldn’t reveal the weaknesses of this team, but Slovenia will undoubtedly know how to exploit those weaknesses.
Slovenia is several levels above the Cape Verde Islands’ team in every aspect of the basketball game. Georgia will need to give their utmost effort to try and match the team led by Luka Doncic. Georgia’s biggest issue is an unbalanced roster. Four out of their top five players are front court players. They will undoubtedly hold a significant advantage in the paint against Slovenia. On the perimeter, only Thad McFadden possesses the quality to perform at a high level.
Slovenia
After a mixed performance in the preparation period, Slovenia started their FIBA World Cup campaign with a win against Venezuela in the first round. The final score was 100-85.
When Luka Doncic is on the court, there’s no need to ponder who was the most efficient and outstanding player of the match. Luka finished with 37 points, along with seven rebounds and six assists. It felt like he could score whenever he wanted. Alongside him, Mike Tobey stood out with 21 points, and Klemen Prepelic contributed 16 points. However, Slovenia once again showcased their major weakness – their poor defense. They allowed 51 points in the first half against a Venezuela team that has offensive limitations. This issue was apparent during the preparation period as well.
Slovenia doesn’t seem to have trouble scoring 90 points against any team, and they’re likely to do the same against Georgia. The question is whether they’ll manage to limit Georgia to less than that. Fortunately for Slovenia, Georgia lacks the shooting potential to score a high number of points, they rely more on inside play and pick-and-rolls. Mike Tobey will face a significant challenge, as his duels with Bitadze and Giorgi Shermadini could sway the match one way or the other. We’re confident that Luka will once again be close to 40 points, as there’s no one in Georgia to effectively guard him.
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Georgia vs Slovenia H2H
These two teams have played three matches against each other, and Slovenia has won all three. Interestingly, all three matches were played at European Championships
Absences and Injuries
Georgia is fielding its strongest roster for the tournament. In contrast, Slovenia is coming in quite depleted. Vlatko CanCar and Edo Muric are absent due to injuries, while Goran Dragic has retired from playing for the Slovenian national team.
Georgia vs Slovenia Prediction
This match likely determines who will advance to the next stage with three wins. Slovenia has the best player on the court, that’s clear. However, from the next five players, four are probably from Georgia. This will be a game, like most when Slovenia plays, at a fast pace with a high number of points. Slovenia will dominate on the perimeter, while Georgia will excel in the paint. We believe Slovenia will impose their playing style, but Georgia will also manage to respond.
We expect a win for Slovenia, but by no more than eight points.
Tip-off Time: Monday 28.08.2023, 13:30 CET
Prediction: Georgia +8.5
Odds: 1.70
Sportsbook: 22Bet
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