Germany vs Japan: Analysis and Prediction – Germany and Japan will play first round game on the FIBA World Cup 2023.
Germany vs Japan (1/2): 1.01 / 15.00
Asian Handicap (-18.5 / +18.5): 1.83 / 1.95
Total Over/Under (171.5): 1.89 / 1.91
*Odds are active at the time the article is published
Germany Team News
Germany played six friendly games in preparation for the tournament. They beat Sweden, Canada, China, and Greece, and lost to Canada and the United States. All the victories, except the one over Canada, were very easily achieved, while Germany was very competitive in their defeats. In the loss to the USA, they led for three quarters.
Dennis Schroder is the leader of the team. During the preparations, he averaged 17.8 points and will have quality support at the upcoming World Cup. Franz Wagner had already proved what he can do in the previous Eurobasket and, with an average of 17 points in friendly matches, showed that he will be extremely important. Right behind them are Daniel Theis and Maodo Lo, who also have good offensive potential.
This match is very important for Germany, which is in a difficult group. In the next two rounds, duels with Australia and Finland, high-quality teams, await them. Therefore, Germany must not allow themselve a setback at the start of the tournament. In that case, they would question the spot in the next phase.
Japan Team News
Japan played as many as nine friendly matches. They beat Chinese Taipei twice, South Korea, New Zealand, and Angola, and lost to South Korea, New Zealand, France, and Slovenia. The question is how realistic all those results are, because the team’s best player, Yuta Watanabe, was hardly present at them. He played only a few minutes against Angola, got injured, and did not appear on the floor against France and Slovenia.
In his absence, Japan’s best player was Keisei Tominaga. In two games in a row, he scored 20 points each, against Angola and France, in just over 20 minutes on average. Yuki Togashi and Yudai Baba played very well also. However, without the help of Watanabe, they could not seriously threaten much better teams, such as France and Slovenia. The defeat against the Slovenia was tough – by 35 points.
Japan expects a similar quality team in the first round of the World Cup. Although they also played the preparation games on their home floor, there is a high probability that the atmosphere in Okinawa will be better, so they, with the support of their fans, will try to surprise Germany.
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Germany vs Japan H2H
Germany and Japan played each other twice. Both teams won once.
Absences and Injuries
Maxi Kleber decided not to play for Germany in the upcoming tournament. Justus Hollatz, who was injured against the USA, is questionable. He traveled with the team to Okinawa, but his presence in the first game is uncertain. Rui Hachimura will not play for Japan, as he decided to spend the summer resting and preparing for the NBA season. The good news for them is that another NBA player, Yuta Watanabe, should be ready after a minor injury.
Germany vs Japan Prediction
The home crowd and a recovered Watanabe will be a positive thing for Japan, but it is hard to expect that Germany could still lose this match. Excluding games against Chinese Taipei, Japan averaged 74.4 points and mostly played against weaker teams than Germany. Gordon Herbert’s team scored an average of 94.5 points during that period, including 112 points given to Canada after overtime.
Therefore, we should expect a total lower number of points than the offered limit.
Tip-off Time: Friday 25.08.2023, 14:10 CET
Prediction: Under 169.5 points
Odds: 1.73
Sportsbook: 22Bet
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