Gran Canaria vs Real Madrid: Analysis and Prediction – Gran Canaria will play at home court in the Liga Endesa against Real Madrid.
Gran Canaria vs Real Madrid Odds
Gran Canaria Team News
Gran Canaria is currently in poor form, having suffered four consecutive losses. In the first game of the quarterfinal series, they only managed to stay competitive in the first half before succumbing to a heavy defeat of 70:105. Throughout the season, they have performed much better on their home court, where they achieved a record of 14-3 in the regular season.
Gran Canaria has struggled to perform at the desired level. Their gameplay is slower compared to the previous season, and their shooting percentages have been below expectations in recent matches. In such a situation, it is very difficult to expect them to win against Real Madrid. In the first game, the team faltered in rebounding, where Real Madrid completely dominated. They managed to stay competitive only in the first two quarters when their three-point shooting was effective. Gran Canaria failed to adapt to the stronger defense of the home team, leading to 17 turnovers. This was a segment where they were expected to at least be on par. Team had a very poor shooting performance, despite the final statistics not fully reflecting this. In the third quarter, they missed open shots, and the home team capitalized. Ethan Happ was effectively contained, and besides him and John Shurna, no other player reached double digits, indicating the team’s overall struggle. Nicolas Brussino surely can perform much better in terms of shooting.
In the second game, Gran Canaria will need to raise the intensity level on defense if they want to compete with their opponent. They must reduce the number of turnovers, commit smarter fouls before entering the bonus, and attempt to improve their defensive rebounding, where Real Madrid caused them significant problems, leading to second and third-chance opportunities.
Real Madrid Team News
Real Madrid is currently in excellent form, having secured four victories in their last five matches, confidently marching towards the next phase of the Liga Endesa playoffs. During the regular season, they achieved a record of 13-4 on the road, although they suffered two losses in the last three games.
Real Madrid has certainly advanced to the Liga Endesa playoffs. In their recent matches, the team has averaged 100 points per game and has excelled offensively. They broke down Gran Canaria with strong defense and effective offense, particularly dominating in the third quarter and maintaining their lead until the end. Dzanan Musa once again showcased his offensive prowess, especially from beyond the arc. Additionally, Facundo Campazzo applied excellent pressure on the ball, initiating a series that decided the match’s outcome. Real Madrid capitalized on the referees allowing physical play, using aggressive defense to generate transition opportunities and easy points. In this match, Real Madrid shot exceptionally well from three-point range while also exploiting their advantage in the paint. Vincent Poirier and Walter Tavares effectively contained the opposition and contributed significantly on the offensive end, leaving Gran Canaria with no recourse.
In the second game, Real Madrid will continue to seek opportunities through aggressive defense, exploiting any defensive weaknesses their opponent may have. Additionally, they will maximize their advantage in the paint.
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Gran Canaria vs Real Madrid H2H
Gran Canaria has been struggling lately, winning only one out of their last five matches. In their three encounters this season, Real Madrid leads 2-1 and currently holds a 1-0 series lead.
Absences and Injuries
Gran Canaria is expected to field a full squad. However, Gabriel Deck will be absent for Real Madrid, and Rudy Fernandez is doubtful after sustaining an injury during the first game.
Gran Canaria vs Real Madrid Prediction
Gran Canaria’s recent performances have been subpar. While they perform better on their home court, they seem to lack a suitable answer to Real Madrid’s game plan, despite defeating them earlier in the season. The team’s major issues lie in defensive rebounding and interior play, aspects that the visiting team will likely seek to exploit. Moreover, coach Chus Mateo has effectively managed his players’ minutes, ensuring they are not overexerted in the first game. With a deeper player rotation, Real Madrid appears to have the advantage of being better rested than their opponents.
Tip-off Time: Friday, 17.05.2024, 20:30 CET
Prediction: Real Madrid –6.5
Odds: 1.75
Sportsbook: BC.GAME
*Odds are active at the time the article is published
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