Heidelberg vs Ulm: Analysis and Prediction – Heidelberg will play at home on Saturday against Ulm in the Bundesliga Round 32.
Heidelberg vs Ulm Odds
Heidelberg Team News
Heidelberg currently stands at 8-23 and has only one more win than Crailsheim Merlins, who are just below the playoff line. Fortunately, they have defeated their direct rival in both encounters this season, and they will only drop to a lower division if they finish the season with one fewer win than Crailsheim.
Defense has been the biggest issue for Heidelberg throughout the season. Only Tubingen is worse than them on that side of the court, and Tubingen sits at the bottom with only six wins this season. Justin Jaworski and Elijah Childs are two players who have recently controlled Heidelberg’s offense, and their good performance is the only way they can outplay their opponents. Jeffrey Carroll is also in good form, but apart from them, everything else is at a very low level. Veteran Paul Zipser is crucial for the locker room, but more was expected from him this season.
Regardless of Ulm being a big favorite in this game, Heidelberg must give their all to cause an upset. A win here would likely secure their Bundesliga survival, and they must rely on excellent shooting from beyond the arc. Defensively, they will surely struggle to limit Trevion Williams under the basket.
Ulm Team News
Ulm lost at home to Bayern by 74:81 on Wednesday, slipping to fifth place in the Bundesliga. They have 21 wins and 10 losses and will certainly play against Wurzburg in the quarterfinals. The only question is which team will have home-court advantage.
Although he didn’t perform well in the direct matchup against Serge Ibaka, the aforementioned Trevion Williams is Ulm’s biggest weapon. Having a great season, he will likely sign with a EuroLeague club in the summer. LJ Figueroa broke a streak of poor performances with 18 points against Bayern, and his good form is essential for Anton Gavel’s team to achieve another notable result in the playoffs. Justinian Jessup, who signed in mid-March, brings extra quality to Ulm.
Considering Heidelberg’s defensive issues, it’s realistic to expect Ulm to be very patient on offense, seeking the best shot opportunities. In defense, they will need to focus on contesting the opponent’s three-point shots, and if successful, it will be a surprise if they don’t secure the victory.
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Heidelberg vs Ulm H2H
Ulm has won all five ever matchups against Heidelberg. This season the score was 98:89 in their only encounter.
Absences and Injuries
Vincent Kesteloot and Tim Coleman are sidelined due to injury for Heidelberg. Mathias Dakota and Philipp Herkenhoff are unavailable for Ulm.
Heidelberg vs Ulm Prediction
Ulm is the favorite in this match, and it will be very difficult for Heidelberg to limit Williams in the paint in any way. However, the spread is too high. Heidelberg played decently in the previous round against Alba Berlin, and we believe they will consistently trail by two or three possessions this time as well. It would be a shock if they defeat Ulm, but it’s simply not realistic for them to lose by a double-digit margin either. After all, earlier in the season, the score was 98:89 when playing on Ulm’s home court.
Tip-off Time: Sunday, 04.05.2024, 20:00 CET
Prediction: Heidelberg +9.5
Odds: 1.76
Sportsbook: MyBookie
*Odds are active at the time the article is published
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