Lithuania vs Mexico: Analysis and Prediction – Lithuania and Mexico will play game of second round on the FIBA World Cup 2023.
Lithuania vs Mexico (1/2): 1.08 / 8.00
Asian Handicap (-14.5 / +14.5): 1.90 / 1.88
Total Over/Under (161.5): 1.86 / 1.90
*Odds are active at the time the article is published
Lithuania Team News
During the FIBA World Cup first round, Lithuania defeated Egypt after a convincing win against Latvia in their last preparatory match. The Lithuanian team made it clear from the first minute that they were better team.
Jonas Valanciunas showcased why he’s the standout player in this team. He delivered what was expected of him. In a little over 17 minutes, he scored 15 points and grabbed 10 rebounds. The most efficient individual in the match against Egypt was Margiris Normantas, who had 18 points. In the first round, all 12 players got on the scoresheet, each receiving at least eight minutes to showcase their skills.
Lithuania enters this match as the clear favorite, riding the momentum of two easy wins in their recent matches. From the first game against Montenegro, we’ve seen that Mexico lacks in defending opposing centers, so we anticipate that Jonas Valanciunas will be a prominent figure in this match.
Mexico Team News
After securing wins in the preparatory period, Mexico faced an expected defeat against the Montenegro team in the first round. For most of the match, the Mexicans trailed by eight to twelve points. However, in the last couple of minutes, they completely faltered, allowing Montenegro to extend their lead to 20 points.
In the match against Montenegro, Mexico revealed vulnerabilities in defending high-quality big men. Nikola Vucevic proved to be unstoppable for the Mexican team. Fortunately for them, Jonas Valanciunas is less proficient offensively than Vucevic, but he possesses greater physical dominance and better rebounding skills, particularly on the offensive boards. The best individuals for the Mexico team were Pako Cruz and center Joshua Ibarra.
After the draw, it’s likely that Mexico expected a win against Egypt and hoped to surprise Montenegro. Following the defeat in the first round, their chances of progressing further have dwindled significantly. As we mentioned, they face an even tougher game against Lithuania, especially in terms of physicality. We will see how much energy they bring into this match. A potential issue could arise from the fact that most Mexican players aren’t accustomed to facing opponents of such high quality in short time.
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Lithuania vs Mexico H2H
These two teams have played one head-to-head match so far. Lithuania won at the FIBA World Cup 2014 by 87:74.
Absences and Injuries
Domantas Sabonis is a key player who won’t be present at the World Cup. Apart from him, other players like Marius Grigonis, Rokas Giedraitis, Lukas Lekavicius and Edgaras Ulanovas, are not competing in Asia as well. On the other hand, Mexico is counting on all their top players
Lithuania vs Mexico Prediction
After an easy win in the first round, Lithuania undoubtedly aims for another comfortable triumph. Kazys Maksvytis’ squad is a more skilled at every position. Additionally, what’s crucial in this match is Lithuania’s ability to respond to Mexico’s physical style of play. We’ve observed that Lithuania has tightened their defense and conceded very few points in their last two matches, so we expect a similar situation here.
We have decided to accept the offer and choose that Lithuania will win by at least 14 points.
Tip-off Time: Sunday 27.08.2023, 14:30 CET
Prediction: Lithuania -13.5
Odds: 1.78
Sportsbook: 22Bet
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