Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics G4: Analysis and Prediction – Miami Heat will host Boston Celtics in the NBA.
Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Odds
Miami Heat Team News
Miami Heat managed to secure a break in the second game against the Boston Celtics but faltered in the subsequent match in front of their home crowd. They finished the regular season with a record of 46 wins and 36 losses and reached the playoffs after being defeated by the Philadelphia 76ers in the play-in, followed by their victory against the Chicago Bulls.
Erik Spoelstra’s tactical brilliance didn’t pay off in this game. The decision to have Bam Adebayo guard Jayson Tatum initially seemed great but proved to be short-lived. The outcome of the last game showed that it was just an initial strategy that Tatum didn’t have an answer for. In the third game, the Celtics managed to solve that situation with excellent ball movement, utilizing pick-and-roll and pick-and-pop plays where Tatum often stay with another player. Miami Heat faced issues with Boston Celtics’ new defense, especially with Tyler Herro being forced to quickly get rid of the ball due to double-teams during the match. Consequently, Miami Heat missed his assists, having 14 in the second game compared to just two in the previous match. Additionally, the home team had a poor defensive performance, allowing an incredible 62% shooting for two-pointers by the Boston Celtics.
Considering they are still without Jimmy Butler, it’s clear that Erik Spoelstra needs to come up with a new strategy. The idea with Bam Adebayo was excellent, but they need to find alternative solutions offensively when Tyler Herro is well-guarded. Defensively, they must play much more aggressively in the paint compared to the previous game.
Boston Celtics Team News
Boston Celtics have had an exceptionally dominant season. Although they faced a somewhat surprising defeat in the second game against the Miami Heat in the playoffs, they also recorded two convincing victories. They finished the regular season as the first seed in the Eastern Conference with a record of 64 wins and 18 losses.
The impression is that the Boston Celtics had issues with their approach in the second game, alongside the mentioned strategy with Bam Adebayo. Both defensively and offensively, they were not at their best, but they improved in the next game. Right from the start of that match, it was clear that they were serious about it, and the idea of double-teaming Tyler Herro proved to be excellent as it neutralized Miami Heat’s biggest offensive threat. Utilizing the fact that Bam Adebayo had to step out of the paint due to defending Jayson Tatum, they consistently attacked the same area, often finishing with points around the rim. The fact that they managed to win by a 20-point margin despite shooting only 29% from three-point range speaks volumes.
It’s evident that the Boston Celtics are the more quality team in this series, but to prove it conclusively, they must not underestimate their opponent. Miami Heat has shown for years how dangerous they can be when underestimated, something the Boston Celtics experienced in the second game. Therefore, it will be necessary for them to play disciplined basketball from the first to the last minute, both offensively and defensively, with a clear understanding of what needs to be done.
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Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics H2H
These two teams have met a total of six times this season, with the Boston Celtics winning five of those matchups. The last game ended with a score of 84:104, with Jaylen Brown and Jason Tatum each scoring 22 points.
Absences and Injuries
Terry Rozier, Jimmy Butler, and Josh Richardson are out for the home team, while Luke Kornet won’t be playing for the visitors.
Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction
Tip-off Time: Tuesday, 30.04.2024, 01:30 CET
Prediction: Boston Celtics -9.5
Odds: 1.74
Sportsbook: Rabona
*Odds are active at the time the article is published
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