Milano vs Virtus: Analysis and Prediction – Milano will host Virtus in the Serie A finals game 4 on Thursday.
Milano vs Virtus Odds
Milano Team News
In the previous game, Milano beat Virtus by 81:78, took a 2-1 lead, thus getting closer to lifting the trophy. The most effective players at that meeting were Nikola Mirotic with 21 points and Shavon Shields with 15 points. They will need to repeat the quality game if they want to win the title.
Milano did a great thing by winning the first game in Bologna and right now it looks like it could be the decisive moment to win the trophy. All three games that have been played so far have been extremely close, which was not the case in the third match, which was accompanied by numerous controversies and great dissatisfaction of Virtus with the refereeing. The key was that the referees decided that the last possession should be for Milano, with Ettore Messina’s team leading 81:78 with two seconds left. This was met with indignation by the visiting team, so Luca Banchi and Marco Belinelli will have to pay fines for insulting the referees, as reported by the Italian media. When it comes to the game itself, the details decide. Six more free throws for Milano neutralized the better shooting percentages of Virtus for both twos and threes, as well as two more rebounds of the home team – 34 versus 32. The excellent play of Nikola Mirotic, who has not shone in the series so far, also proved to be very important.
The impression is that Milano played excellently in the previous match, especially considering that they finished the game with only seven turnovers. Such a controlled game and patience in the offense, there is no doubt that it will bring a lot of good to this team in the upcoming clash.
Virtus Team News
Virtus lost in the previous game against Milano and thus put themselves in a situation where only by winning the next match they have the chance to reach a settlement and eventually the title. The most effective players in that match were Jordan Mickey with 17 points and Iffe Lundberg and Tornike Shengelia with 11 points each.
Virtus entered the previous duel decisively, with the intention of outplaying the favored rival and achieving a second consecutive win. It was Luca Banchi’s team in a good moment, they had self-confidence because of the second clash in Bologna and at the end they had the opportunity to take a 2-1 lead. However, that did not happen, despite the fact that Virtus played at an extremely high level, when almost all parameters are taken into account, except for the three-point shot, which was at a 35 percent. As it was the case in the previous clashes, this time too it became clear that the lack of offensive talent was the key to triumph in this series. Again, that aspect of the game troubled Virtus, who in the first five minutes of the fourth quarter had a lot of trouble scoring. That’s when Milano made the decisive difference and thanks to that came the win.
In the next match, Virtus should play even better, especially when it matters the most. It seems that the team from Bologna had no problems with the rival during the biggest part of the meeting, but that they faltered in the fourth quarter and ran out of strength. To level the series, they will need to overcome that.
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Milano vs Virtus H2H
They played seven times this season, Milano won four times. The same team leads 2-1 in the series.
Absences and Injuries
Maodo Lo and Alex Poythress will not play for the home team, while Devontae Cacok will not play for the visitors.
Milano vs Virtus Prediction
Milano is the favorite in this meeting and surely the win in the previous match will bring them an additional dose of self-confidence. On the other hand, taking into account that all three games were very close, our suggestion is that the next one will be similar and that the details will decide the winner. Therefore, we predict that Virtus will not lose by a margin higher than the offered spread and will offer strong resistance.
Tip-off Time: Thursday, 13.06.2024, 20:30 CET
Prediction: Virtus +6.5
Odds: 1.76
Sportsbook: 22Bet
*Odds are active at the time the article is published
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