Monaco vs Fenerbahce: Analysis and Prediction – Monaco will play at home court in the EuroLeague play-off game 5 against Fenerbahce.
Monaco vs Fenerbahce Odds
Monaco Team News
Monaco has managed to equalize the series at 2-2 and now has the chance to secure their second consecutive berth in the EuroLeague Final Four on their home court. The fact that their focus is solely on the decisive game is evidenced by their loss in the LNB Pro A against Cholet, where key players were rested in preparation for the upcoming matchup.
Following three high-scoring games in the series, Monaco adjusted well to their opponent’s style of play in the last game and managed to win while keeping the scoring low. Monaco corrected their mistakes from previous matches. Particularly reducing turnovers, which significantly impacted their performance. Despite their opponent’s advantage in rebounding, Monaco managed to mitigate its impact during crucial moments. A notable surprise was the performance of Donta Hall, who played a crucial role in the game, especially in the closing stages. Mike James, although well-guarded, contributed to the victory in key moments, but there is still anticipation for him to showcase his scoring prowess, especially given his historical significance in the EuroLeague. Currently, he’s averaging only 11.2 points per game with a poor three-point shooting percentage (23.8%). There’s a significant battle unfolding in the paint, with Donatas Motiejunas having a strong series, averaging 12.5 points per game.
Monaco will undoubtedly aim to control the pace of the game in the decisive matchup, as doing so increases their chances of advancing to the Final Four. It’s expected that Mike James will finally find his rhythm in this game. The battle in the paint will be crucial, as Monaco cannot afford to let their opponent impose their style of play.
Fenerbahce Team News
Fenerbahce failed to capitalize on a significant opportunity to secure a spot in the EuroLeague Final Four on their home court. Costly turnovers and poor shooting inside the arc proved detrimental in their 62:65 loss in the fourth game, forcing them to seek their chance on the road.
Throughout the quarterfinal playoff series, Fenerbahce showcased their quality and played high-quality matches. The team once again demonstrated their offensive firepower while also executing a strong defensive strategy against Monaco’s leading scorer, Mike James, whom they effectively contained, with significant contributions from Nick Calathes. Fenerbahce boasts a potent offense with several scoring options, which they’ll need to utilize to their advantage in the decisive game. Nigel Hayes-Davis needs to significantly improve his offensive output, as he has failed to score more than 10 points in any game and has only a 28.6% shooting percentage. Scottie Wilbekin, Marko Guduric, and Tarik Biberovic have all played notable roles during the series. One area they need to address is their ability to finish plays in the paint, which Monaco defended effectively against their drives. Georgios Papagiannis has been in excellent form, recording a double-double in the last game.
Fenerbahce has demonstrated that they can produce strong offensive performances on the road. The team excels in this aspect, and during the series, they showed they have solutions for containing Mike James. However, in this crucial match, they must reduce their turnovers and ensure a more secure offensive execution to improve their chances of success.
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Monaco vs Fenerbahce H2H
The series is tied 2-2, with each team securing a one road victory. Fenerbahce won the first and third matches (95:91, 89:78), while Monaco triumphed in the second and fourth games (93:88, 65:62). During the regular season, they each have one win and one loss. Fenerbahce emerged victorious on their home court with a score of 86:74, while Monaco retaliated with a 76:69 win.
Absences and Injuries
John Brown is questionable for Monaco’s team. Yigit Mestoglu will be absent from Fenerbahce’s lineup, while John Motley’s availability is questionable.
Monaco vs Fenerbahce Prediction
Monaco will aim to capitalize on their home-court advantage in this match. They’ve demonstrated during this series that they can quickly adapt to tactical surprises and have yet to play at their desired level. Additionally, they’ll have extra motivation following the incident at the end of the fourth game. It’s expected that Mike James will finally confirm his reputation and play at the level of the top scorer, leading his team to the final tournament.
Tip-off Time: Wednesday, 08.05.2024, 18:00 CET
Prediction: Monaco-2.5
Odds: 1.72
Sportsbook: BC.GAME
*Odds are active at the time the article is published
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