Ulm vs Wurzburg: Analysis and Prediction – Ulm will host Wurzburg in the Bundesliga quarterfinals game two.
Ulm vs Wurzburg Odds
Ulm Team News
Ulm lost to Wurzburg 78:65 in the first game of the quarterfinals, in a match where Justinian Jessup with 11 points and Georginho de Paula with 10 points were the most effective. Now they face a duel in which they must win, if they want to avoid 0-2 before two away games.
Ulm had a great season, considering that they were without two of their best players this summer, Bruno Caboclo and Yago dos Santos. So they were not expected to repeat the success and win the title, which now seems very difficult. In the first match against Würzburg, the offense failed completely and did not work, especially in the fourth quarter, when Ulm scored only nine points and in such circumstances could not win, even though it was the favorite. They relied too much on the three-point shot – they attempted 38 times from distance and were not aggressive towards the basket, as evidenced by the fact that they had only 10 free throws. On top of all that, Wurzburg also dominated in rebounding, it had 44, compared to Ulm’s 34, and when you add it all up, the home team had no real chance. Ulm did not even stop Otis Livingston, one of the best scorers in the Bundesliga, who stopped at 22 points.
In the next match, Ulm will have to do better in all parameters. They will have almost no chance to make amends if they suffer another defeat, which would be very bad. Because of this, they will need to be more focused on points from the paint, rather than relying on a shot that did them no good.
Wurzburg Team News
With the win over Ulm in the first game, Würzburg took a big step towards reaching the semi-finals of the Bundesliga. This team surprised the favorite in a match in which Otis Livingston was the most effective with 22 points and Zac Seljaas with 17 points. Now the second game awaits them, in which they will try to repeat the game from the first.
Wurzburg dominated almost all aspects of the game. Rebounding and shooting percentages were crucial, as well as Otis Livingston’s point dominance, for which no one has yet found a solution. For almost 40 minutes, Wurzburg had the advantage, which is a surprise, regardless of how good a team they have. Ulm only briefly took the lead at one point, but the control of the match was completely on the rival’s side, which culminated in the fourth quarter, in which the home team was completely stopped. And here it was possible to see how versatile Wurzburg is. They were very good in terms of points, they relied on Otis Livingston, while on the other hand they closed the approaches to the basket and stopped Ulm to only nine points in the fourth quarter.
Despite the generally excellent game, in one segment this team must do better. Those are turnovers, of which there were as many as 17. Due to the other good parameters, it was not felt so much, but it is evident that another such game could cost them win in the second duel, which may be decisive.
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Ulm vs Wurzburg H2H
They have played four times this season and Würzburg have won just once and lead the series 1-0.
Absences and Injuries
Mathias Dakota will not be available for the home team. Emmanuel Little will not play for the visitors.
Ulm vs Wurzburg Prediction
Considering how well Würzburg played in the first game, but also due to the fact that they won dominantly, the logical prediction is that they will torment their rivals in the second match as well. Thus, our suggestion is that the guests will not lose by a margin higher than the offered spread, despite the fact that Ulm will be extremely motivated to level the balance of power in the series. The visitors still have room to improve in the game, which is another positive thing for them.
Tip-off Time: Monday, 19.05.2024, 19:00 CET
Prediction: Wurzburg +6.5
Odds: 1.70
Sportsbook: 22Bet
*Odds are active at the time the article is published
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