USA vs Germany Analysis and Prediction – USA and Germany will play in the second semifinal of the FIBA World Cup.
USA vs Germany Odds
USA vs Germany (1/2): 1.18 / 4.88
Asian Handicap (-10.5 / +10.5): 1.95 / 1.85
Total Over/Under (178.5): 1.87 / 1.93
*Odds are active at the time the article is published
USA Team News
The team led by Steve Kerr managed to bounce back after a shocking defeat to Lithuania. In the quarterfinals, they faced Italy and approached the game seriously from the very beginning, which reflected in the result. Their win by a margin of 37 points was never in doubt at any point.
After the setback they experienced in the first half against Lithuania, it’s evident that the USA have entered this match much more motivated. This was expected, given the abundance of talent on their roster; it’s unlikely they would have two poor performances in a row. Against Italy, everyone had a chance to prove themselves. The best player on the court was Mikal Bridges, who is improving as the tournament progresses. Additionally, Tyrese Haliburton shone by orchestrating the game when he was on the court. In the match against Italy, all players had at least 10 minutes of playing time. We believe that rotations may be shortened slightly in the semifinals, as they are up against a tougher opponent.
On every tournament they participate in, the USA national team automatically becomes the top favorite, and the same goes for this FIBA World Cup. Based on what we’ve seen so far, Germany will likely be the toughest opponent for the USA. The Germany possess the athleticism to match up against the USA and have the shooting ability to challenge them. One of the critical battlegrounds in this matchup will be rebounding, whoever gains the upper hand in this area will be closer to win.
Germany Team News
Germany enters this semifinal as the only undefeated team in the FIBA World Cup. After five victories in the first two phases, they also secured a win against Latvia in the quarterfinals. The final score of the match was 81-79. With this win, Germany has secured a direct spot in the Paris Olympic Games
Germany survived despite the dismal performance of their best player. Dennis Schroder shot a woeful 4/26 from the field. With him on the court, Germany was trailing by twenty points, but in nine and a half minutes without him, they were ahead by 22 points. Fortunately for Germany, the Wagner brothers stood out in the match against Latvia. After playing only in the first round, Frantz Wagner scored 16 points and was the top scorer for Germany, while his older brother Moritz scored 12 points without missing a shot.
We believe that Schroder will not repeat the poor performance he had in the quarterfinals, with him in good form, everything becomes much easier. It opens up a lot of space for other players, each of whom can hit three-pointers. Germany must try to replicate the style used by Montenegro and Lithuania, which is domination in the paint and on the boards. Germany may not have as dominant players as these two teams, but it has a large number of players who can be extremely active on the boards. If they establish an advantage in that aspect, Germany can remain in the game for a spot in the finals until the very end.
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USA vs Germany H2H
These two teams have played four matches against each other so far, and the United States has won all four, including the match during the preparations for the current FIBA World Cup.
Absences and Injuries
The USA team will play with the lineup that was determined a few months ago. On the other hand, Maxi Kleber is not playing for Germany in this tournament.
USA vs Germany Prediction
As we mentioned, this match will likely be decided in rebounding. If the USA manages to maintain balance in this aspect and doesn’t allow Germany too many second-chance opportunities, they will be much closer to win. The USA players must also pay attention to the opponent’s three-point shooting because every German player can hit threes. We believe that we are in for a high-scoring game because both teams possess a diverse arsenal of offensive weapons.
Tip-off Time: Friday 08.09.2023, 14:40 CET
Prediction: USA -9.0
Odds: 1.74
Sportsbook: 22Bet