Baskonia vs Real Madrid: Analysis and Prediction – Baskonia will host Real Madrid in the EuroLeague quarterfinals Game 3.
Baskonia vs Real Madrid Odds
Baskonia Team News
Baskonia has failed to pose a threat to Real Madrid in any of the games in Spanish capital last week. Not even in the second clash was it enough that they made 16 three-pointers. Now they are left with trying to salvage some pride with at least one win in this series, but that won’t be an easy task.
It is still unknown whether Chima Moneke will return for Game 3. Even with him on the court, the outcome would have been difficult to change last week, but having their superstar on the court would surely give Baskonia a boost. Markus Howard struggles to find desired positions for three-point shooting, but there’s no doubt that he will fire more threes at the Fernando Buesa Arena than he did in Madrid last week. Baskonia will surely insist again on many pick-and-pop situations with Matt Costello, especially when Walter Tavares is on the court. Vanja Marinkovic and Tadas Sedekerskis can always be the X-factors, as well as Codi Miller-McIntyre.
The defense of this team simply isn’t at a high enough level to make shots difficult for Real Madrid players. They must rely on the opponent missing their attempts, while Howard on the other side can ignite a spark and lead the team in a shooting barrage. Without that, they have no chance here.
Real Madrid Team News
Real Madrid has lived up to its reputation as the best team in the EuroLeague. With two double-digit wins, they are the only team to reach 2-0 after the first week of the playoffs, and now they will try to capitalize on the first of three match points. It will indeed be a surprise if the series returns to the Spanish capital for a fifth and deciding game.
This Real Madrid team has too much depth. At each position, head coach Chus Mateo has several fantastic players, and it’s impossible to predict who will step up. Even when you defend their primary options, players like Gabriel Deck, Vincent Poirier, Rudy Fernandez and Sergio Llull emerge from the background. Mario Hezonja is always capable of destroying opponents with his three-point shooting, and Facundo Campazzo is perhaps playing the most mature basketball of his life. Walter Tavares may not be as dominant as in previous years, but his presence alone in the paint makes a huge difference in favor of Los Blancos. When Dzanan Musa is also in form, things are even easier.
Baskonia likes to play at a very fast pace with a lot of three-point shots, and neither does Real Madrid shy away from such a style of play. The guests here probably won’t try to slow anything down but will enter into a shooting contest with the opponent, aiming to outplay them for the third time in this series in the same way.
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Baskonia vs Real Madrid H2H
Real Madrid leads 4-1 against Baskonia in the H2H this season, and in this series played on a best-of-three, it is 2-0.
Absences and Injuries
Khalifa Diop is injured and will not play for Baskonia, while Chima Moneke is questionable. Real Madrid has no injury concerns.
Baskonia vs Real Madrid Prediction
It could very easily happen that this series ends on Wednesday night. But still, we’ll give Baskonia the advantage in the sense that we expect them to play at least one good game and thus extend the series for another two days. Even if they don’t succeed in doing so, we believe they can stay close until the very end and not lose by more than six points. It’s possible that Real Madrid will relax a bit due to their significant lead, and Howard and his teammates can capitalize on that.
Tip-off Time: Wednesday, 01.05.2024, 20:30 CET
Prediction: Baskonia +6.5
Odds: 1.77
Sportsbook: MyBookie
*Odds are active at the time the article is published
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