Canada vs Slovenia: Analysis and Prediction – Canada and Slovenia will play a quarterfinal game at the FIBA World Cup.
Canada vs Slovenia Odds
Canada vs Slovenia (1/2): 1.28 / 3.70
Asian Handicap (-8.5 / +8.5): 1.91 / 1.91
Total Over/Under (176.5): 1.91 / 1.87
*Odds are active at the time the article is published
Canada Team News
Canada has gone through a real rollercoaster of a tournament. In the first phase, they were the most dominant of all 32 teams, only to almost be eliminated in the second round. They shockingly lost to Brazil by 69:65, and everything was decided in the showdown with Spain. Canada were trailing by double digits at the beginning of the fourth quarter, but in the end, they triumphed 88:85.
Three men carried Canada in that game against Spain. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was once again the best with 30 points. Without a doubt, the Oklahoma City Thunder superstar is the top favorite to be the tournament’s MVP. Dillon Brooks was outstanding with 22 points (3/3 from three-point range), and RJ Barrett also made a significant contribution with 16 points. Kelly Olynyk, who hit two crucial three-pointers when it mattered, should also be mentioned. By reaching the quarter-finals, Canada has achieved one of its two main goals. They have qualified for the Olympic Games in Paris, and now they will try to win a medal in a much more relaxed manner.
Canada enters this game as the absolute favorite. With defenders like Brooks and Dort, they can slow down Luke Doncic, and they have players to respond to the threat of Mike Tobey from long range. As they say in the United States, “it’s Canada’s game to lose if they can.”
Slovenia Team News
Slovenia has faced a lot of injury problems even before the start of the tournament, but they have done more than a good job. As expected, they emerged from the first group with a 3-0 record, and then they crushed Australia. However, a 100:71 loss to Germany revealed certain weaknesses in their game.
It’s not rocket science to say that everything depends on Luka Doncic. He’s the one with the ball in his hands and responsible for everything on offense. Most of the plays start from the pick’n’pop between him and Mike Tobey, which usually forces opposing teams to bring a third defender into the pick. This opens up a lot of space for three-point shots if the rotations aren’t timely enough, and that’s the space players like Aleksej Nikolic, Klemen Prepelic, Jaka Blazic, and Zoran Dragic take advantage of. Without their good three-point shooting, Slovenia will struggle to threaten Canada.
In addition to good three-point shooting, the other prerequisite is for Doncic to perform at his best. He needs to have an MVP game with 30+ points because the opponent is truly dominant. On top of that, the entire team must play better defensively than they realistically can.
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Canada vs Slovenia H2H
Canada and Slovenia have never played against each other before.
Absences and Injuries
Jamal Murray and Andrew Wiggins are two of the most well-known Canadian players who are not participating in the FIBA World Cup. Edo Muric and Vlatko Cancar are not playing for Slovenia in this tournament due to injuries.
Canada vs Slovenia Prediction
As magical as Doncic may be, this is simply a hurdle his team cannot overcome. Germany has shown how to play against Slovenia, and everything Germany did, Canada can do even better. If Slovenia stays close until the very end, it will be a big surprise, and if they triumph, it will be an enormous sensation regardless of everything.
Tip-off Time: Wednesday, 06.09.2023, 14:30 CET
Prediction: Canada -7
Odds: 1.74
Sportsbook: 22Bet
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