Split vs Zadar: Analysis and Prediction – Split will host Zadar in the Croatian Basketball League finals game 3.
Split vs Zadar
Split Team News
In the previous game, Split lost 92:71 against Zadar, so now it is 1-1 in the series and both teams have equal chances to win the trophy. The most effective players in that match were Boris Tisma with 21 points and Mate Kalajzic with 12 points. Now Slaven Rimac’s team needs to preserve the home advantage if they want to achieve great success.
Few believed that Split could win one in Zadar, and they did so immediately in the first game, mainly because they stopped Luka Bozic, who played as much as 40 minutes. The MVP of the ABA League had a bad sequence at the end and two misses when it was most needed and the credit went to the defense of Split. As much as it can be said for the opening match, it cannot be said for the second one, because everything was the other way around and this team failed to limit the best player of the rival. Not only that, but they didn’t have a shooting night, considering that they only shot 15 of 33 for two, which is a very poor percentage. What was also of great importance were the turnovers. Split could not cope with the aggressiveness of Zadar, who were determined to put as much pressure on their opponent as possible. It paid off for Danijel Jusup’s team, considering that Split had as many as 18 turnovers.
It was hard to expect that Split would beat the favored Zadar for the second time. Despite this, the home team did a great job in this meeting and now they have the opportunity to secure the title with two wins. If they want to do that, they’ll have to cut down on turnovers and improve their shooting percentages.
Zadar Team News
By winning the previous match, Zadar tied the series and will now have a more difficult task, to achieve at least one victory in front of the visiting fans and thus restore the home advantage. The most effective players in the second match were Luka Bozic with 24 points and Karlo Zganec with 20 points.
Zadar entered this series as a big favorite, so the first game was completely unexpected for them. That defeat was a bad start to the series, but Daniel Jusup’s team managed to play better. Perhaps the main reason for the win in the second match lay in the fact that the Croatian coach still decided to rest the best player, Luka Bozic. While in the first match, the MVP of the ABA League played all 40 minutes and showed visible signs of fatigue, in the second this was not the case, as he stopped at 34. He played less, but was more efficient and, along with 24 points, added eight rebounds and six assists and was a true leader of the team throughout. Zadar shot extremely well for two points, which is another key to win. This team was accurate 20 times out of 29 attempts, which speaks volumes about how much Split did not have the opportunity to play quality defense in the racket. Also, the exceptional realization from the free throw line – 24/27, also influenced the epilogue.
What Zadar should change in the next meeting is to reduce the number of three point shots. They attempted 36 times from distance in the previous match, which is not logical, considering how well they did in the two-point shooting. If they fix that part, they will be even closer to the title of Croatian champion.
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Split vs Zadar H2H
They played eight times this season, and Zadar won six times. Currently is 1-1 in the series.
Absences and Injuries
Tonko Vuko could miss the duel for the home side, while the visitors should be complete.
Split vs Zadar Prediction
Zadar’s performance in the second game reminded us of what this team can do and why they are the favorite. The biggest impression is that Daniel Jusup’s team played an average game and won again by 20 points. Given that it is now clear that the visitors are only improving their form as time goes by, our suggestion is that the next match will be similar and that Zadar will win.
Tip-off Time: Wednesday, 29.05.2024, 20:00 CET
Prediction: Zadar to win
Odds: 1.70
Sportsbook: 22Bet
*Odds are active at the time the article is published
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